The Collapse
by
Dr.
Andrew Wallace PhD BEng(hons) EurIng
Introduction
Collapse is highly probable out come given our current
socioeconomic system. If we want to avoid a collapse, or failing
that, be able to rebuild after a collapse we need to be proactive in
building an alternative, sustainable, socioeconomic system.
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The collapse.
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The Collapse is Coming
It looks like we are heading for a collapse. Millions of species
could go extinct [1, 2, 3] as global warming reeks havoc of our
environment. Scientist have been warning of this for decades [4], yet
we haven’t actually done anything about the problem [5, 6, 7]. Yes,
we have made some token efforts but what we have done so far is like
painting the façade of a rotting building green. Looks good but
doesn't actually do anything about the problem.
This heading to collapse should make a lot of people who want an
alternative, sustainable, moneyless, socioeconomic system happy.
Shouldn’t it? After all, the argument goes that we will be unable
to build such a sustainable, socioeconomic, system without a collapse
as the current system will act in such a way as to prevent any other
system from emerging. Jacque Fresco used to be quite fond of this
argument [8].
But this all could depend on what we mean with “collapse”. A
collapse could just be an economic phenomena like the Great
Depression in the 1930s. But it could also be more severe than that
such as Easter Island, Mayan, or the collapse of Anasazin (Ancestral
Puebloans) society
[9]. These latter collapses are more of interest than a financial
collapse like the Great Depression. The Great Depression resulted
from one part of the system collapsing where as the collapse of the
Mayan civilisation, Easter Island, and the Anasazin society all
involved environmental factors; the inhabitants over expolited the
environment. “Over exploiting” the environment is more like what
we are doing today. So, any potential collapse will most likely be
similar to the collapse of these societies.
That brings up a problem; the societies that collapsed with the
environment as a contributing factor did not recover. Not in
themselves. People from outside the areas moved into those areas,
like Easter Island, or they remained abandoned, such as the towns of
the Anasazi. And we, on our planet, do not have an “outside”,
that can move in. So, if we actually achieve a collapse then we could
be looking at the end. That is to say, a situation that we can not
recover from. That would mean that in looking to build a moneyless,
sustainable, society post-collapse we run the risk of ending up in a
situation where we do not have the ability to build such a society.
That means that we need to be a bit more proactive.
Building for the Future
Proactive in two ways; first in preventing a collapse as it does
not really serve ours or anyone's best interest to wait for a
collapse. Second, on failing the first, we need to sow seeds from
which we can start building a better society.
What we can do is form groups to preserve what we can and build up
communities that are sustainable as much as possible. I like to think
of this as the “Alien Planet” idea. Imagine living on an alien
planet, like Mars, where the environment is hostile. The type of
community we would need is one that can manage its own resources
within the bounds of the community; grow its own food, manage its own
waist, for example. Like a space colony. As much as possible. This
could be done on a small scale like grown your own food in your
garden or having a small hydroponics set up. It could be also done on
a larger scale, like building a community with its own land. Next we
would have to network these groups together. The more we have, the
more people, the more land, the more we can do and the more we could
support each other. The idea is laid out in The Design [10] and is
called stepping-stones.
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A colony on an alien planet.
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Stepping-stones would set seeds if a collapse was to happen but,
ideally, it will allow for the evolution towards a new sustainable,
moneyless, society. It would allow us to test ideas out and to
experiment. However, it still doesn’t deal with the problem that we
could face of a system that would work against moving to a
sustainable socioeconomic system. For that, I think, we need to be
proactive in another way; politically.
We do not advocate a “revolution”, nor the over throw of any
government but doesn’t mean we can’t participate in the political
processes of a democracy. There are opportunities to form pressure
groups and even political parties or just to be members of political
parties to influence the debate and movement toward a sustainable
society. In other words, take part in society. We could even
participate more in social media with more videos, articles, or fund
raisers but I think this is only worth while if it leads to action on
the ground (all talk and no action!).
Conclusion
We are heading for disaster and if that was to occur we would find
it difficult if not impossible to recover and to build a sustainable,
moneyless, society. If we are to build such a society then we need to
be proactive. At the end of the day, if we fail to achieve a
sustainable society, we only have ourselves to blame.
About the Author
Andrew Wallace is a former director of EOS. He has a PhD in
Artificial Intelligence and Robotics. He is a former University
lecturer and currently works as a consultant.
References
[1]
https://www.nrdc.org/stories/report-million-extinctions-and-ecological-collapse-are-way
[2]
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/08042020/global-warming-ecosystem-biodiversity-rising-heat-species/
[3]
https://www.sciencealert.com/hundreds-of-top-scientists-warn-combined-environmental-crises-will-cause-global-collapse
[4]
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2021/jul/05/sixty-years-of-climate-change-warnings-the-signs-that-were-missed-and-ignored
[5]
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/10/climate/biodiversity-collapse-climate-change.html
[6]
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2021-emissions-turning-point/
[7]
https://www.cnet.com/science/climate/clobbered-by-climate-change-ipcc-report-warns-of-failure-to-adapt-to-global-warming/
[8]
https://www.thevenusproject.com/multimedia/jacque-fresco-collapse-transition-politics-systems-approach/
[9] “Collapse”. Jared Diamond. Penguin Group. 2005.
[10] The Design. EOS.
https://www.lulu.com/en/gb/shop/eos-/the-design/ebook/product-1e8ew9y8.html?page=1&pageSize=4